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icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 83%

David Trone 16%

Kiambo White <1%

Daniel Krakower <1%

Polymarket

$11,941 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 83%

David Trone 16%

Kiambo White <1%

Daniel Krakower <1%

Polymarket

$11,941 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$2,059 Vol.

83%

David Trone

$1,746 Vol.

16%

Kiambo White

$2,284 Vol.

1%

Daniel Krakower

$1,126 Vol.

<1%

George Gluck

$1,421 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,157 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$998 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney holds an 83% implied probability in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary on June 23, ahead of former Representative David Trone at 16%, reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads and stronger position among Democratic primary voters. Delaney benefits from her current incumbency after succeeding Trone in 2024, along with endorsements from party leaders and substantial self-funding that supports campaign visibility. Trone’s challenge centers on his prior service in the district and heavy personal loans exceeding $10 million, yet recent surveys show him trailing despite aggressive advertising and criticism of Delaney’s immigration-related votes. The race has featured increasingly pointed exchanges over campaign messaging and policy differences, with minor candidates remaining far behind in both polls and resources. The June primary date creates a short window for any late shifts in voter preferences.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,941
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney holds an 83% implied probability in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary on June 23, ahead of former Representative David Trone at 16%, reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads and stronger position among Democratic primary voters. Delaney benefits from her current incumbency after succeeding Trone in 2024, along with endorsements from party leaders and substantial self-funding that supports campaign visibility. Trone’s challenge centers on his prior service in the district and heavy personal loans exceeding $10 million, yet recent surveys show him trailing despite aggressive advertising and criticism of Delaney’s immigration-related votes. The race has featured increasingly pointed exchanges over campaign messaging and policy differences, with minor candidates remaining far behind in both polls and resources. The June primary date creates a short window for any late shifts in voter preferences.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,941
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "April McClain Delaney" a 83%, seguito da "David Trone" a 16%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 83¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $11.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è "April McClain Delaney" a 83%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "David Trone" a 16%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.