Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by...?
$179,259 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$8,180 Vol.
9%
December 31
$8,180 Vol.
9%
Rules
Amid rumors of a U.S.-drafted peace framework, a so-called 28-point proposal to end the war with Russia, Zelenskiy is scheduled to meet U.S. Army officials in Kyiv on November 20. More details can be found here: https://www.axios.com/2025/11/19/ukraine-peace-plan-trump-russia-witkoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases a new framework to end the war between Ukraine and Russia by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying document must be framed as a new peace proposal outlining specific conditions, for example, regarding reparations, territorial agreements, demilitarization, sanctions, etc.
A mere announcement that such a document exists or will be released will not suffice.
To qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the document or its content to the public. Reports that a qualifying document was provided privately, for example, to Ukrainian officials, will not suffice.
Partial releases, such as a written summary or outline, will count as long as they are framed as a peace proposal outlining specific conditions.
Leaks or unverified/unofficial information will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases a new framework to end the war between Ukraine and Russia by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying document must be framed as a new peace proposal outlining specific conditions, for example, regarding reparations, territorial agreements, demilitarization, sanctions, etc.
A mere announcement that such a document exists or will be released will not suffice.
To qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the document or its content to the public. Reports that a qualifying document was provided privately, for example, to Ukrainian officials, will not suffice.
Partial releases, such as a written summary or outline, will count as long as they are framed as a peace proposal outlining specific conditions.
Leaks or unverified/unofficial information will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Nov 19, 2025, 6:51 PM UTC
Volume
$179,259End Date
Nov 30, 2025Created At
Nov 19, 2025, 6:51 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$179,259 Vol.
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$8,180 Vol.
9%
About
Volume
$179,259End Date
Nov 30, 2025Created At
Nov 19, 2025, 6:51 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.