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Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?

Market icon

Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$48,472 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$48,472 Vol.

On April 11, the Trump administration sent the following letter to Harvard University (see: https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/092f8701fdf305fd/4d7d152d-full.pdf) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University publicly announces it will comply with any demands outlined in the Trump administration's April 11 letter, by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Harvard will qualify regardless of if/when implementation occurs. The resolution source will be official announcements from Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On April 11, the Trump administration sent the following letter to Harvard University (see: https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/092f8701fdf305fd/4d7d152d-full.pdf)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University publicly announces it will comply with any demands outlined in the Trump administration's April 11 letter, by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Announcements from Harvard will qualify regardless of if/when implementation occurs.

The resolution source will be official announcements from Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,472
End Date
May 31, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2025, 12:06 PM ET
On April 11, the Trump administration sent the following letter to Harvard University (see: https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/092f8701fdf305fd/4d7d152d-full.pdf) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University publicly announces it will comply with any demands outlined in the Trump administration's April 11 letter, by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Harvard will qualify regardless of if/when implementation occurs. The resolution source will be official announcements from Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

On April 11, the Trump administration sent the following letter to Harvard University (see: https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/092f8701fdf305fd/4d7d152d-full.pdf) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University publicly announces it will comply with any demands outlined in the Trump administration's April 11 letter, by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Harvard will qualify regardless of if/when implementation occurs. The resolution source will be official announcements from Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On April 11, the Trump administration sent the following letter to Harvard University (see: https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/092f8701fdf305fd/4d7d152d-full.pdf)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University publicly announces it will comply with any demands outlined in the Trump administration's April 11 letter, by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Announcements from Harvard will qualify regardless of if/when implementation occurs.

The resolution source will be official announcements from Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,472
End Date
May 31, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2025, 12:06 PM ET
On April 11, the Trump administration sent the following letter to Harvard University (see: https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/092f8701fdf305fd/4d7d152d-full.pdf) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University publicly announces it will comply with any demands outlined in the Trump administration's April 11 letter, by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Harvard will qualify regardless of if/when implementation occurs. The resolution source will be official announcements from Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?" has generated $48.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.