Skip to main content
Market icon

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?

Market icon

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$8,211 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$8,211 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfpaugust.png

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk

For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfpaugust.png

Volume
$8,211
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfpaugust.png

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfpaugust.png

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk

For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfpaugust.png

Volume
$8,211
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfpaugust.png

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.