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Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?

Market icon

Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$31,588 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$31,588 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ontario Premier Doug Ford, or the Government of Ontario acting under his leadership, officially announces that he will halt or restrict electricity exports from Ontario to the United States between March 3 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the cuts actually occur. Temporary halts or restrictions due to natural disasters, problems with infrastructure, etc., will not count toward this market's resolution unless they are explicitly announced as part of a policy decision made by Ford's government.

The primary resolution source will be information from the government of Canada or Ontario, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$31,588
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ontario Premier Doug Ford, or the Government of Ontario acting under his leadership, officially announces that he will halt or restrict electricity exports from Ontario to the United States between March 3 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the cuts actually occur. Temporary halts or restrictions due to natural disasters, problems with infrastructure, etc., will not count toward this market's resolution unless they are explicitly announced as part of a policy decision made by Ford's government. The primary resolution source will be information from the government of Canada or Ontario, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ontario Premier Doug Ford, or the Government of Ontario acting under his leadership, officially announces that he will halt or restrict electricity exports from Ontario to the United States between March 3 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the cuts actually occur. Temporary halts or restrictions due to natural disasters, problems with infrastructure, etc., will not count toward this market's resolution unless they are explicitly announced as part of a policy decision made by Ford's government.

The primary resolution source will be information from the government of Canada or Ontario, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$31,588
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ontario Premier Doug Ford, or the Government of Ontario acting under his leadership, officially announces that he will halt or restrict electricity exports from Ontario to the United States between March 3 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the cuts actually occur. Temporary halts or restrictions due to natural disasters, problems with infrastructure, etc., will not count toward this market's resolution unless they are explicitly announced as part of a policy decision made by Ford's government. The primary resolution source will be information from the government of Canada or Ontario, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?" has generated $31.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.