Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 68% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, driven by the U.S. extension of its April 6 deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and backchannel peace talks, positioning Saudi Arabia as a key Gulf mediator. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (65%) rank next, reflecting transatlantic priorities on Iran escalation, Ukraine support, and alliance coordination. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian trades at 25%, tempered by Tehran's denials of direct negotiations despite Trump's recent claims of progress. Traders eye the April 2 tariff event and Hormuz deadline for potential announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Keir Starmer
65%

Mark Rutte
64%

Emmanuel Macron
62%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
56%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
53%

Ursula von der Leyen
53%

Elon Musk
50%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Kim Jong Un
6%

Reza Pahlavi
23%

Masoud Pezeshkian
12%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%
$9,554 Vol.

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Keir Starmer
65%

Mark Rutte
64%

Emmanuel Macron
62%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
56%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
53%

Ursula von der Leyen
53%

Elon Musk
50%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Kim Jong Un
6%

Reza Pahlavi
23%

Masoud Pezeshkian
12%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 68% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, driven by the U.S. extension of its April 6 deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and backchannel peace talks, positioning Saudi Arabia as a key Gulf mediator. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (65%) rank next, reflecting transatlantic priorities on Iran escalation, Ukraine support, and alliance coordination. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian trades at 25%, tempered by Tehran's denials of direct negotiations despite Trump's recent claims of progress. Traders eye the April 2 tariff event and Hormuz deadline for potential announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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