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Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?

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Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?

$815,387 Vol.

Jan 23, 2026
Polymarket

$815,387 Vol.

Polymarket

Ursula von der Leyen

$41,288 Vol.

No

He Lifeng

$21,160 Vol.

No

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$285,594 Vol.

Yes

Sheikh Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$6,935 Vol.

Yes

Javier Milei

$25,950 Vol.

Yes

Emmanuel Macron

$175,484 Vol.

No

Mark Carney

$28,610 Vol.

No

Abdel Fattah El-Sisi

$51,939 Vol.

Yes

Friedrich Merz

$32,628 Vol.

No

Guy Parmelin

$16,059 Vol.

Yes

Isaac Herzog

$23,761 Vol.

No

Aleksandar Vučić

$13,114 Vol.

No

Keir Starmer

$55,281 Vol.

No

Mette Frederiksen

$37,584 Vol.

No

The World Economic Forum takes place in Davos, Switzerland from January 19 - January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the named individuals who shake Trump's hand between market creation and January 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET in Davos, Switzerland. Any handshakes which take place in locations other than Davos, Switzerland will not qualify towards the resolution of this market.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.

The resolution source will be photo or video.
Volume
$815,387
End Date
Jan 23, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
The World Economic Forum takes place in Davos, Switzerland from January 19 - January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the named individuals who shake Trump's hand between market creation and January 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET in Davos, Switzerland. Any handshakes which take place in locations other than Davos, Switzerland will not qualify towards the resolution of this market. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" at 100%, followed by "Sheikh Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Al Thani" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?" has generated $815.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?" is "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sheikh Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Al Thani" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.