President Trump's escalating Truth Social feud with Pope Leo XIV, whom he called "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" after the pope urged de-escalation in the US-Iran Strait crisis, has sharpened trader attention on religious leaders and international critics. Just days earlier, around April 9, Trump unleashed insults at conservative influencers Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, Megyn Kelly, and Alex Jones—branding them "stupid," "low IQ losers," and "third-rate"—along with Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene as a "nasty traitor," for opposing his military posture toward Iran. This pattern of aggressive responses to policy dissent, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, drives trader consensus on likely targets before the April 30 deadline, with eyes on daily posts, potential White House briefings, or diplomatic developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$187,622 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Jerome Powell
80%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
66%
Zohran Mamdani
42%
Nicolás Maduro
41%
Keir Starmer
36%
Barack Obama
21%
Pope Leo XIV
15%
Viktor Orbán
3%
Pam Bondi
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
3%
Xi Jinping
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Vladimir Putin
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Melania Trump
2%
$187,622 Vol.
Jerome Powell
$1,236 Vol.
80%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$1,489 Vol.
66%
Zohran Mamdani
$54 Vol.
42%
Nicolás Maduro
$634 Vol.
41%
Keir Starmer
$319 Vol.
36%
Barack Obama
$3,549 Vol.
21%
Pope Leo XIV
$5,423 Vol.
15%
Viktor Orbán
$5,515 Vol.
3%
Pam Bondi
$2,951 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$7,872 Vol.
3%
Xi Jinping
$16,192 Vol.
2%
Elon Musk
$3,378 Vol.
2%
Vladimir Putin
$5,431 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$10,236 Vol.
2%
Melania Trump
$12,981 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's escalating Truth Social feud with Pope Leo XIV, whom he called "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" after the pope urged de-escalation in the US-Iran Strait crisis, has sharpened trader attention on religious leaders and international critics. Just days earlier, around April 9, Trump unleashed insults at conservative influencers Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, Megyn Kelly, and Alex Jones—branding them "stupid," "low IQ losers," and "third-rate"—along with Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene as a "nasty traitor," for opposing his military posture toward Iran. This pattern of aggressive responses to policy dissent, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, drives trader consensus on likely targets before the April 30 deadline, with eyes on daily posts, potential White House briefings, or diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$187,622End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's escalating Truth Social feud with Pope Leo XIV, whom he called "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" after the pope urged de-escalation in the US-Iran Strait crisis, has sharpened trader attention on religious leaders and international critics. Just days earlier, around April 9, Trump unleashed insults at conservative influencers Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, Megyn Kelly, and Alex Jones—branding them "stupid," "low IQ losers," and "third-rate"—along with Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene as a "nasty traitor," for opposing his military posture toward Iran. This pattern of aggressive responses to policy dissent, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, drives trader consensus on likely targets before the April 30 deadline, with eyes on daily posts, potential White House briefings, or diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$187,622End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's escalating Truth Social feud with Pope Leo XIV, whom he called "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" after the pope urged de-escalation in the US-Iran Strait crisis, has sharpened trader attention on religious leaders and international critics. Just days earlier, around April 9, Trump unleashed insults at conservative influencers Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, Megyn Kelly, and Alex Jones—branding them "stupid," "low IQ losers," and "third-rate"—along with Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene as a "nasty traitor," for opposing his military posture toward Iran. This pattern of aggressive responses to policy dissent, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, drives trader consensus on likely targets before the April 30 deadline, with eyes on daily posts, potential White House briefings, or diplomatic developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions