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icon for Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

icon for Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

$359,399 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$359,399 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$36,928 Vol.

Yes

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,309 Vol.

No

icon for Viktor Orbán

Viktor Orbán

$8,301 Vol.

No

icon for Megyn Kelly

Megyn Kelly

$21,820 Vol.

Yes

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$4,332 Vol.

Yes

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$56,331 Vol.

Yes

icon for Melania Trump

Melania Trump

$29,664 Vol.

No

icon for Alex Jones

Alex Jones

$19,865 Vol.

Yes

icon for Joe Biden

Joe Biden

$27,418 Vol.

Yes

icon for Pam Bondi

Pam Bondi

$6,135 Vol.

No

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$24,617 Vol.

No

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$17,252 Vol.

No

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$5,195 Vol.

No

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$14,263 Vol.

No

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$9,774 Vol.

No

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$28,645 Vol.

No

icon for Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer

$3,201 Vol.

No

icon for Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell

$9,541 Vol.

Yes

icon for Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

$23,096 Vol.

Yes

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$4,098 Vol.

No

icon for Joe Biden

Joe Biden

$1,978 Vol.

Yes

icon for Megyn Kelly

Megyn Kelly

$758 Vol.

No

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$441 Vol.

Yes

icon for Alex Jones

Alex Jones

$482 Vol.

No

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$1,958 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's Truth Social posts in April 2026 featured sharp public insults targeting Pope Leo XIV over the pontiff's criticism of U.S. policy on Iran, prompting widespread Catholic backlash including reposts of an AI-generated image mocking the Pope; Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell for remaining on the Fed board amid nomination disputes; and conservative commentators Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, and Candace Owens in a lengthy tirade questioning their loyalty. These clashes with religious leaders, economic officials, and media allies reflect heightened tensions defining trader consensus on insult targets, with the April 30 deadline now passed and markets awaiting verification of qualifying statements for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$359,399
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's Truth Social posts in April 2026 featured sharp public insults targeting Pope Leo XIV over the pontiff's criticism of U.S. policy on Iran, prompting widespread Catholic backlash including reposts of an AI-generated image mocking the Pope; Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell for remaining on the Fed board amid nomination disputes; and conservative commentators Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, and Candace Owens in a lengthy tirade questioning their loyalty. These clashes with religious leaders, economic officials, and media allies reflect heightened tensions defining trader consensus on insult targets, with the April 30 deadline now passed and markets awaiting verification of qualifying statements for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$359,399
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tucker Carlson" at 100%, followed by "Megyn Kelly" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" has generated $359.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" is "Tucker Carlson" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Megyn Kelly" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.