President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$852,266 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
April 11
Yes
April 12
Yes
April 13
Yes
April 14
Yes
April 15
Yes
April 16
Yes
April 17
Yes
April 18
Yes
April 19
No
April 20
Yes
April 21
Yes
April 22
Yes
April 23
Yes
April 24
Yes
April 25
Yes
April 26
Yes
April 27
Yes
April 28
No
April 29
Yes
April 30
Yes
$852,266 Vol.
April 11
$8,410 Vol.
Yes
April 12
$11,454 Vol.
Yes
April 13
$21,179 Vol.
Yes
April 14
$20,227 Vol.
Yes
April 15
$16,568 Vol.
Yes
April 16
$9,540 Vol.
Yes
April 17
$23,030 Vol.
Yes
April 18
$44,676 Vol.
Yes
April 19
$23,073 Vol.
No
April 20
$67,874 Vol.
Yes
April 21
$66,083 Vol.
Yes
April 22
$38,667 Vol.
Yes
April 23
$58,054 Vol.
Yes
April 24
$48,335 Vol.
Yes
April 25
$45,263 Vol.
Yes
April 26
$191,666 Vol.
Yes
April 27
$34,212 Vol.
Yes
April 28
$86,464 Vol.
No
April 29
$21,415 Vol.
Yes
April 30
$16,073 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$852,266End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$852,266End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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