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Who will Trump pick for Agriculture Secretary?

Market icon

Who will Trump pick for Agriculture Secretary?

Thomas Massie <1%

Sarah Frey <1%

Cindy Hyde-Smith <1%

Charles Herbster <1%

Polymarket

$343,316 Vol.

Thomas Massie <1%

Sarah Frey <1%

Cindy Hyde-Smith <1%

Charles Herbster <1%

Polymarket

$343,316 Vol.

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Thomas Massie

$75,542 Vol.

No

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Sarah Frey

$23,344 Vol.

No

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Cindy Hyde-Smith

$16,644 Vol.

No

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Charles Herbster

$3,355 Vol.

No

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Brooke Rollins

$0 Vol.

Yes

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Ray Starling

$0 Vol.

No

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Kelly Loeffler

$18,567 Vol.

No

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Sid Miller

$32,372 Vol.

No

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Kip Tom

$14,149 Vol.

No

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Ted McKinney

$29,917 Vol.

No

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RFK Jr.

$129,426 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for US Secretary of Agriculture by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$343,316
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 6, 2024, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for US Secretary of Agriculture by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump pick for Agriculture Secretary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brooke Rollins" at 100%, followed by "Thomas Massie" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump pick for Agriculture Secretary?" has generated $343.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 6, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump pick for Agriculture Secretary?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump pick for Agriculture Secretary?" is "Brooke Rollins" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Thomas Massie" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump pick for Agriculture Secretary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.