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地政学·トランプ

マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？

icon for マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？
地政学·トランプ

マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？

$95,414 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$95,414 Vol.

Polymarket

4月30日

$50,377 Vol.

いいえ

12月31日

$26,887 Vol.

はい

6月30日

$18,149 Vol.

はい

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US Secretary of State Marco Rubio arrived in Beijing on May 13 for President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping, marking his first visit to mainland China despite sanctions imposed since 2020 over criticism of Uyghur human rights abuses and Hong Kong policies. Beijing enabled entry via a linguistic workaround, tweaking the transliteration of Rubio's name to bypass the travel ban. Previously unvisited by Rubio—a longtime Senate China hawk confirmed to the post earlier this year—this trip underscores thawing diplomatic channels amid tensions on trade, Taiwan, and technology. Traders monitor summit outcomes, including potential US pushes for China to restrain Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, with official confirmations solidifying the visit amid real-time footage of Rubio at the Great Hall of the People.

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$95,414
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US Secretary of State Marco Rubio arrived in Beijing on May 13 for President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping, marking his first visit to mainland China despite sanctions imposed since 2020 over criticism of Uyghur human rights abuses and Hong Kong policies. Beijing enabled entry via a linguistic workaround, tweaking the transliteration of Rubio's name to bypass the travel ban. Previously unvisited by Rubio—a longtime Senate China hawk confirmed to the post earlier this year—this trip underscores thawing diplomatic channels amid tensions on trade, Taiwan, and technology. Traders monitor summit outcomes, including potential US pushes for China to restrain Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, with official confirmations solidifying the visit amid real-time footage of Rubio at the Great Hall of the People.

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$95,414
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で100%、次いで「6月30日」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？」は$95.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マルコ・ルビオが中国を訪れるのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。