Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
200+ 100.0%
＜20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$492,177 交易量
$492,177 交易量
2026-05-22
＜20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200+
是
200+ 100.0%
＜20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$492,177 交易量
$492,177 交易量
2026-05-22
＜20
$7,853 交易量
否
20-39
$1,112 交易量
否
40-59
$1,910 交易量
否
60-79
$57,917 交易量
否
80-99
$74,588 交易量
否
100-119
$77,695 交易量
否
120-139
$42,910 交易量
否
140-159
$22,732 交易量
否
160-179
$30,659 交易量
否
180-199
$47,201 交易量
否
200+
$127,601 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$492,177结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$492,177结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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