Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Kevin Warsh 60%

Rick Rieder 18.5%

Christopher Waller 14.3%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$213,067,002 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$6,969,748 Vol.
60%

Rick Rieder
$5,359,558 Vol.
19%

Christopher Waller
$5,318,919 Vol.
14%

Kevin Hassett
$12,528,762 Vol.
6%

Judy Shelton
$5,966,023 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$5,500,181 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,656,481 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,579,077 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,748,476 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$8,514,182 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,282,488 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,498,582 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,067,187 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,615,334 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,972,268 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,225,700 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,055,761 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,282,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,075,463 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,002,336 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,875,119 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,836,778 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,782,014 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,731,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,617,448 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$213,067,002

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 60%

Rick Rieder 18.5%

Christopher Waller 14.3%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$213,067,002 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$6,969,748 Vol.

60%

Rick Rieder

$5,359,558 Vol.

19%

Christopher Waller

$5,318,919 Vol.

14%

Kevin Hassett

$12,528,762 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$5,966,023 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$5,500,181 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$4,656,481 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$4,579,077 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$3,748,476 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$8,514,182 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,282,488 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$3,498,582 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,067,187 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$12,615,334 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,972,268 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,225,700 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,055,761 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,282,263 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,075,463 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,002,336 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$7,875,119 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,836,778 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,782,014 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,731,848 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,617,448 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$213,067,002

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

40%

Will 56 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

25%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

98%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$6,969,748 Vol.
60%

Rick Rieder
$5,359,558 Vol.
19%

Christopher Waller
$5,318,919 Vol.
14%

Kevin Hassett
$12,528,762 Vol.
6%

Judy Shelton
$5,966,023 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$5,500,181 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,656,481 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,579,077 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,748,476 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$8,514,182 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,282,488 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,498,582 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,067,187 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,615,334 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,972,268 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,225,700 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,055,761 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,282,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,075,463 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,002,336 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,875,119 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,836,778 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,782,014 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,731,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,617,448 Vol.
<1%

Market Context