Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$55,021,497 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 51%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 4.6%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,021,497
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$55,021,497 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 51%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 4.6%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,878,611 Vol.

51%

Kevin Warsh

$1,079,821 Vol.

40%

Christopher Waller

$1,180,099 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$1,008,702 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$884,073 Vol.

2%

Rick Rieder

$846,351 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$821,509 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,143,013 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$873,700 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,114,259 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$8,286,398 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$8,530,191 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$651,306 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$521,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,446,828 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,080,657 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$597,306 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,085,108 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,316,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,434,797 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$10,547,213 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$557,246 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$55,021,497
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.