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What will Trump or Melania say during the screening of "Melania"?

$545 Vol.

Jan 29, 2026

Rules

Donald and Melania Trump are set to attend a screening of the film "Melania" on January 29, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where either Donald or Melania Trump are speaking, those clips will not count toward this market's resolution. Clips from the film will not qualify towards this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about comments delivered during the "The President and The First Lady attend a Screening of the Film Melania" event on the specified date (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this named, scheduled event, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled by Donald or Melania Trump, or otherwise is not aired by January 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.
Volume
$545
End Date
Jan 29, 2026
Created At
Jan 29, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Donald and Melania Trump are set to attend a screening of the film "Melania" on January 29, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where either Donald or Melania Trump are speaking, those clips will not count toward this market's resolution. Clips from the film will not qualify towards this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about comments delivered during the "The President and The First Lady attend a Screening of the Film Melania" event on the specified date (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this named, scheduled event, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled by Donald or Melania Trump, or otherwise is not aired by January 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Beware of external links.

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About

Volume
$545
End Date
Jan 29, 2026
Created At
Jan 29, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Beware of external links.