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Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

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Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

$1,367,031 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,367,031 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Samuel Doria Medina

$69,035 Vol.

No

Market icon

Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga

$62,198 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Andrónico Rodríguez

$1,235,798 Vol.

No

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Bolivia's presidential runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Volume
$1,367,031
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Bolivia's presidential runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga" at 100%, followed by "Samuel Doria Medina" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff?" is "Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Samuel Doria Medina" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.