Trader consensus prices "No meeting before 2027" at 80.5%, reflecting deep divisions in Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, including territorial disputes, security guarantees, and mutual war crime allegations, with no direct Zelenskyy-Putin summit scheduled despite occasional openness from Kyiv. Zelenskyy's April 4 visit to Istanbul—following Erdogan's call with Putin—underscored Turkey's mediation push and Zelenskyy's stated readiness for talks, elevating its odds to 2.8% amid historical Istanbul format precedents, yet yielding no concrete agreement. US at 2.3% ties to prior trilateral Geneva envoys' meetings in February that stalled without breakthroughs, while ongoing Russian strikes and stalled envoy diplomacy reinforce skepticism for any venue before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting before 2027 81%
Turkey 2.8%
US 2.3%
Qatar / UAE 1.8%
$1,893,253 Vol.
$1,893,253 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
81%

Turkey
3%

US
2%

Qatar / UAE
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Hungary
2%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
No meeting before 2027 81%
Turkey 2.8%
US 2.3%
Qatar / UAE 1.8%
$1,893,253 Vol.
$1,893,253 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
81%

Turkey
3%

US
2%

Qatar / UAE
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Hungary
2%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices "No meeting before 2027" at 80.5%, reflecting deep divisions in Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, including territorial disputes, security guarantees, and mutual war crime allegations, with no direct Zelenskyy-Putin summit scheduled despite occasional openness from Kyiv. Zelenskyy's April 4 visit to Istanbul—following Erdogan's call with Putin—underscored Turkey's mediation push and Zelenskyy's stated readiness for talks, elevating its odds to 2.8% amid historical Istanbul format precedents, yet yielding no concrete agreement. US at 2.3% ties to prior trilateral Geneva envoys' meetings in February that stalled without breakthroughs, while ongoing Russian strikes and stalled envoy diplomacy reinforce skepticism for any venue before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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