President-elect Donald Trump, fresh off his November 2024 victory, continues shaping his administration through cabinet nominations amid Senate confirmation battles, including withdrawals like Matt Gaetz for attorney general and ongoing holds on picks such as Pete Hegseth for defense secretary. Traders eye his March 2025 public statements—potentially in press conferences, congressional addresses, or rallies—for signals on policy priorities like border security, tariffs, Ukraine aid cuts, or cryptocurrency endorsements, building on his recent pro-Bitcoin conference speech and executive order hints. With inauguration on January 20, early presidency dynamics including debt ceiling talks and budget fights could prompt definitive remarks, while historical patterns show new presidents clarifying agendas within first 100 days amid high market sensitivity to his phrasing on immigration, trade wars, and foreign policy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$140,351 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Big Fat Cat
8%
N Word
2%
Hottest Nation
16%
Little Rocket Man
5%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
6%
Low Energy
17%
Aliens are Real
2%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
7%
Banana Republic
8%
Bitcoin
100%
Judy Shelton
3%
Secret Word
16%
Charlie Kirk
19%
War On Fraud
23%
Coward
29%
Capital of the World
14%
UFC Fight
25%
Liberation Day
13%
Sudan
32%
Truth Social
22%
Erika Kirk
14%
Third term
18%
$140,351 Vol.
Big Fat Cat
$771 Vol.
8%
N Word
$31,496 Vol.
2%
Hottest Nation
$10,313 Vol.
16%
Little Rocket Man
$1,392 Vol.
5%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
$725 Vol.
6%
Low Energy
$3,633 Vol.
17%
Aliens are Real
$8,816 Vol.
2%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
$868 Vol.
7%
Banana Republic
$1,339 Vol.
8%
Bitcoin
$9,083 Vol.
100%
Judy Shelton
$0 Vol.
3%
Secret Word
$157 Vol.
16%
Charlie Kirk
$4,149 Vol.
19%
War On Fraud
$287 Vol.
23%
Coward
$4,895 Vol.
29%
Capital of the World
$608 Vol.
14%
UFC Fight
$978 Vol.
25%
Liberation Day
$0 Vol.
13%
Sudan
$289 Vol.
32%
Truth Social
$5,885 Vol.
22%
Erika Kirk
$350 Vol.
14%
Third term
$16,626 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President-elect Donald Trump, fresh off his November 2024 victory, continues shaping his administration through cabinet nominations amid Senate confirmation battles, including withdrawals like Matt Gaetz for attorney general and ongoing holds on picks such as Pete Hegseth for defense secretary. Traders eye his March 2025 public statements—potentially in press conferences, congressional addresses, or rallies—for signals on policy priorities like border security, tariffs, Ukraine aid cuts, or cryptocurrency endorsements, building on his recent pro-Bitcoin conference speech and executive order hints. With inauguration on January 20, early presidency dynamics including debt ceiling talks and budget fights could prompt definitive remarks, while historical patterns show new presidents clarifying agendas within first 100 days amid high market sensitivity to his phrasing on immigration, trade wars, and foreign policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$140,351End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President-elect Donald Trump, fresh off his November 2024 victory, continues shaping his administration through cabinet nominations amid Senate confirmation battles, including withdrawals like Matt Gaetz for attorney general and ongoing holds on picks such as Pete Hegseth for defense secretary. Traders eye his March 2025 public statements—potentially in press conferences, congressional addresses, or rallies—for signals on policy priorities like border security, tariffs, Ukraine aid cuts, or cryptocurrency endorsements, building on his recent pro-Bitcoin conference speech and executive order hints. With inauguration on January 20, early presidency dynamics including debt ceiling talks and budget fights could prompt definitive remarks, while historical patterns show new presidents clarifying agendas within first 100 days amid high market sensitivity to his phrasing on immigration, trade wars, and foreign policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$140,351End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump, fresh off his November 2024 victory, continues shaping his administration through cabinet nominations amid Senate confirmation battles, including withdrawals like Matt Gaetz for attorney general and ongoing holds on picks such as Pete Hegseth for defense secretary. Traders eye his March 2025 public statements—potentially in press conferences, congressional addresses, or rallies—for signals on policy priorities like border security, tariffs, Ukraine aid cuts, or cryptocurrency endorsements, building on his recent pro-Bitcoin conference speech and executive order hints. With inauguration on January 20, early presidency dynamics including debt ceiling talks and budget fights could prompt definitive remarks, while historical patterns show new presidents clarifying agendas within first 100 days amid high market sensitivity to his phrasing on immigration, trade wars, and foreign policy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions