Name: What will Trump say during all female town hall?
Start: 2024-10-15T14:58:49.868038Z
End: 2024-10-16T12:00:00Z

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Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Border 20+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Abortion 10+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Women love me"  during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Women love me

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Women's sports"  during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Women's sports

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "parental rights"  during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Parental Rights

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tampon"  during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Tampon

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Melania" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Melania" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Melania Trump.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Melania

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "JD" or "Vance"  during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "JD" or "Vance" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person JD Vance.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

JD Vance

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "execute" or "execution" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "execute" or "execution" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the act of carrying out a death sentence.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Execution

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "ninth month" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Ninth month

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Taylor Swift" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Taylor Swift

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Abortion 5+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Black women" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Black women

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Laken Riley" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Laken Riley

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Kamala Harris. 

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Kamala 20+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Roe" or "Wade" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Roe" or "Wade" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the 'Roe v. Wade' case, or the Jane Roe or Henry Wade directly involved in that case.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Roe/Wade

What will Trump say during all female town hall?  

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors, which is scheduled to air on December 23, 2025 (https://www.npr.org/2025/12/05/nx-s1-5607173/kennedy-center-honors-trump).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Benjamin Netanyahu personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This includes calling Netanyahu weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, or using other derogatory language. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

Any public statement made by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of sexual misconduct between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump engaged in sexual misconduct, or clearly describe behavior that meets that description. Sexual misconduct includes, but is not limited to, sexual harassment, sexual assault, unwanted advances, infidelity, affairs, or pedophilia. Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made by Maxwell and made public within the specified date range.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Nicholas J. Fuentes personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling Nicholas J. Fuentes weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Nick isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Nicholas J. Fuentes’s professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Nick isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if Nicholas J. Fuentes is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s Truth Social post published on the morning of December 15, 2025, regarding the passing of Rob Reiner (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/115724141568860081) is deleted at any point between this market’s creation and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying deletion includes the post being removed for any duration, regardless of whether it is later reposted.

Edits to the post will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Benjamin Netanyahu between November 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy meets with Donald Trump by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Trump says Fuck, Fucking, or Fucked 
- House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution
- Trump declares another national emergency

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here: 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Panick+in+the+White+House.pdf

Panick in the White House

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

On September 1, 2025, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Trump administration may declare a national housing emergency this fall to address high housing costs.(see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bessent-says-trump-administration-will-tackle-high-housing-costs-with-new-2025-09-01/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) primarily addressing housing by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of criminal wrongdoing between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump committed one or more specific crimes, or clearly refer to him as a criminal and Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made Maxwell and made public within the specified date range. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Liz Cheney serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between March 17 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Liz Cheney?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

The 2026 midterm elections for the US House of Representatives is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the House of Representatives for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US House of Representatives as of November 2, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election. The loss of particular district seats will not count towards a resolution for this market; only the total number of seats held by the Republican Party in a given state will be considered. (e.g. The loss of a particular district's seat by the Republican Party followed by the gain of another district's seat would not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".)

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

For the purposes of this market, states won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election include Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. This list is determined by the winner of the electoral votes for each state in the 2024 Presidential election. In states such as Maine and Nebraska, where electoral votes are allocated separately by congressional districts as well as to the statewide winner, only the electoral votes allocated to the statewide winner are considered.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Washington Commanders, or the ownership/development entity responsible for the team’s planned new stadium in Washington, D.C., officially announce and agree that the stadium will be named after Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying announcement must:
- Be made publicly and on the record by the Commanders organization or by the entity that owns or controls the new stadium (e.g., via press release, official statement, or filing).
- Clearly state that the new stadium will bear Trump’s name (for example, “Trump Stadium” or “Donald J. Trump Field”).
- Reflect a finalized agreement or naming-rights deal, not a proposal, negotiation, or expression of intent.

If any other official naming-rights deal is announced for the new stadium prior to June 30, 2026 — including a corporate sponsorship or another individual’s name — this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution sources will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

Melania
$19,316 Vol.
No

Ninth month
$5,820 Vol.
No

Laken Riley
$17,262 Vol.
No

Kamala 20+ times
$3,972 Vol.
No

Border 20+ times
$21,708 Vol.
Yes

Abortion 5+ times
$17,109 Vol.
No

Abortion 10+ times
$7,664 Vol.
No

Women love me
$4,111 Vol.
No

Women's sports
$11,585 Vol.
No

Parental Rights
$1,836 Vol.
No

Tampon
$3,531 Vol.
No

JD Vance
$5,399 Vol.
No

Execution
$2,124 Vol.
No

Taylor Swift
$5,700 Vol.
No

Black women
$1,691 Vol.
No

Roe/Wade
$2,077 Vol.
No

Market Context

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

Rules

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

Market Context

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

About

Related

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

Melania$19,316 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Ninth month$5,820 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Laken Riley$17,262 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kamala 20+ times$3,972 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Border 20+ times$21,708 Vol.Yescircle check

Abortion 5+ times$17,109 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Abortion 10+ times$7,664 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Women love me$4,111 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Women's sports$11,585 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Parental Rights$1,836 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tampon$3,531 Vol.Nocircle xmark

JD Vance$5,399 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Execution$2,124 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Taylor Swift$5,700 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Black women$1,691 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Roe/Wade$2,077 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

Rules

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

Market Context

What will Trump say during all female town hall?

About

Related

Melania
$19,316 Vol.
No

Ninth month
$5,820 Vol.
No

Laken Riley
$17,262 Vol.
No

Kamala 20+ times
$3,972 Vol.
No

Border 20+ times
$21,708 Vol.
Yes

Abortion 5+ times
$17,109 Vol.
No

Abortion 10+ times
$7,664 Vol.
No

Women love me
$4,111 Vol.
No

Women's sports
$11,585 Vol.
No

Parental Rights
$1,836 Vol.
No

Tampon
$3,531 Vol.
No

JD Vance
$5,399 Vol.
No

Execution
$2,124 Vol.
No

Taylor Swift
$5,700 Vol.
No

Black women
$1,691 Vol.
No

Roe/Wade
$2,077 Vol.
No