Despite recent Democratic calls for invoking the 25th Amendment or impeachment—sparked by President Trump's April 7 Truth Social threats against Iran, including warnings of civilizational destruction and clashes with the pope—trader consensus holds firm at 83.5% against early departure, viewing these as partisan posturing without bipartisan support or procedural viability. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 10 bill for a presidential fitness commission, backed by over 50 Democrats, faces insurmountable GOP opposition in Congress, where Republicans maintain slim majorities blocking House impeachment votes or Senate conviction. No confirmed health crises or resignation signals have emerged, with Trump actively signing executive orders on psychedelics for mental health (April 19) and surveillance powers (April 18), underscoring administration stability ahead of 2026 midterms that could test but not yet alter this trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$7,198,764 Vol.
$7,198,764 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7,198,764 Vol.
$7,198,764 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite recent Democratic calls for invoking the 25th Amendment or impeachment—sparked by President Trump's April 7 Truth Social threats against Iran, including warnings of civilizational destruction and clashes with the pope—trader consensus holds firm at 83.5% against early departure, viewing these as partisan posturing without bipartisan support or procedural viability. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 10 bill for a presidential fitness commission, backed by over 50 Democrats, faces insurmountable GOP opposition in Congress, where Republicans maintain slim majorities blocking House impeachment votes or Senate conviction. No confirmed health crises or resignation signals have emerged, with Trump actively signing executive orders on psychedelics for mental health (April 19) and surveillance powers (April 18), underscoring administration stability ahead of 2026 midterms that could test but not yet alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,198,764End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite recent Democratic calls for invoking the 25th Amendment or impeachment—sparked by President Trump's April 7 Truth Social threats against Iran, including warnings of civilizational destruction and clashes with the pope—trader consensus holds firm at 83.5% against early departure, viewing these as partisan posturing without bipartisan support or procedural viability. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 10 bill for a presidential fitness commission, backed by over 50 Democrats, faces insurmountable GOP opposition in Congress, where Republicans maintain slim majorities blocking House impeachment votes or Senate conviction. No confirmed health crises or resignation signals have emerged, with Trump actively signing executive orders on psychedelics for mental health (April 19) and surveillance powers (April 18), underscoring administration stability ahead of 2026 midterms that could test but not yet alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,198,764End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite recent Democratic calls for invoking the 25th Amendment or impeachment—sparked by President Trump's April 7 Truth Social threats against Iran, including warnings of civilizational destruction and clashes with the pope—trader consensus holds firm at 83.5% against early departure, viewing these as partisan posturing without bipartisan support or procedural viability. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 10 bill for a presidential fitness commission, backed by over 50 Democrats, faces insurmountable GOP opposition in Congress, where Republicans maintain slim majorities blocking House impeachment votes or Senate conviction. No confirmed health crises or resignation signals have emerged, with Trump actively signing executive orders on psychedelics for mental health (April 19) and surveillance powers (April 18), underscoring administration stability ahead of 2026 midterms that could test but not yet alter this trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions