Trump approval rating on December 12?
$88,179 Vol.
42.5+ 100.0%
<40.5 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.0–41.4 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<40.5
$6,122 Vol.
No
<40.5
$6,122 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$4,268 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$4,268 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$31,511 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$31,511 Vol.
No
41.5–41.9
$12,637 Vol.
No
41.5–41.9
$12,637 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$10,907 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$10,907 Vol.
No
42.5+
$22,733 Vol.
Yes
42.5+
$22,733 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 12, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Dec 8, 2025, 12:10 AM UTC
Volume
$88,179End Date
Dec 13, 2025Created At
Dec 8, 2025, 12:10 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$88,179 Vol.
Trump approval rating on December 12?
42.5+ 100.0%
<40.5 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.0–41.4 <1%
<40.5
$6,122 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$4,268 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$31,511 Vol.
No
41.5–41.9
$12,637 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$10,907 Vol.
No
42.5+
$22,733 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$88,179End Date
Dec 13, 2025Created At
Dec 8, 2025, 12:10 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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