House Democrats, led by Rep. Yassamin Ansari, introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth three days ago, accusing him of unauthorized military strikes on Iran, war crimes, classified leaks in the Signalgate scandal, and abuse of power amid the ongoing U.S. blockade and recent ceasefire. Despite these formal charges—echoing earlier efforts by Rep. Shri Thanedar—trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5%, reflecting Republican House majority control that blocks any floor vote or advancement before June 30. Historical precedent shows cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare, with Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority unlikely under divided government, prioritizing structural barriers over partisan accusations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
$151,930 Vol.
$151,930 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$151,930 Vol.
$151,930 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Democrats, led by Rep. Yassamin Ansari, introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth three days ago, accusing him of unauthorized military strikes on Iran, war crimes, classified leaks in the Signalgate scandal, and abuse of power amid the ongoing U.S. blockade and recent ceasefire. Despite these formal charges—echoing earlier efforts by Rep. Shri Thanedar—trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5%, reflecting Republican House majority control that blocks any floor vote or advancement before June 30. Historical precedent shows cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare, with Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority unlikely under divided government, prioritizing structural barriers over partisan accusations.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
Volume
$151,930End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Democrats, led by Rep. Yassamin Ansari, introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth three days ago, accusing him of unauthorized military strikes on Iran, war crimes, classified leaks in the Signalgate scandal, and abuse of power amid the ongoing U.S. blockade and recent ceasefire. Despite these formal charges—echoing earlier efforts by Rep. Shri Thanedar—trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5%, reflecting Republican House majority control that blocks any floor vote or advancement before June 30. Historical precedent shows cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare, with Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority unlikely under divided government, prioritizing structural barriers over partisan accusations.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$151,930End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Democrats, led by Rep. Yassamin Ansari, introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth three days ago, accusing him of unauthorized military strikes on Iran, war crimes, classified leaks in the Signalgate scandal, and abuse of power amid the ongoing U.S. blockade and recent ceasefire. Despite these formal charges—echoing earlier efforts by Rep. Shri Thanedar—trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5%, reflecting Republican House majority control that blocks any floor vote or advancement before June 30. Historical precedent shows cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare, with Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority unlikely under divided government, prioritizing structural barriers over partisan accusations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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