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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds

Market icon

NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds

3 100.0%

1 <1%

2 <1%

4 <1%

Polymarket

$2,827,343 Vol.

3 100.0%

1 <1%

2 <1%

4 <1%

Polymarket

$2,827,343 Vol.

1

$142,862 Vol.

No

2

$448,117 Vol.

No

3

$928,097 Vol.

Yes

4

$196,091 Vol.

No

5

$134,505 Vol.

No

6

$132,040 Vol.

No

7

$150,511 Vol.

No

8

$152,231 Vol.

No

9

$149,261 Vol.

No

10

$163,182 Vol.

No

11

$128,749 Vol.

No

12+

$101,697 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the round in which a candidate for Mayor of New York City first received over 50% of active ballots in the ranked choice voting process of the 2025 Democratic Primary election, based on the final certified vote totals. “Active ballots” are those that are still eligible to be transferred under ranked choice rules in a given round. The market will resolve to the first round where any candidate exceeds 50% of active ballots, regardless of whether additional rounds are conducted afterward for reporting or procedural reasons.

The resolution source will be the official certified election results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
Volume
$2,827,343
End Date
Jun 24, 2025
Market Opened
May 16, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the round in which a candidate for Mayor of New York City first received over 50% of active ballots in the ranked choice voting process of the 2025 Democratic Primary election, based on the final certified vote totals. “Active ballots” are those that are still eligible to be transferred under ranked choice rules in a given round. The market will resolve to the first round where any candidate exceeds 50% of active ballots, regardless of whether additional rounds are conducted afterward for reporting or procedural reasons. The resolution source will be the official certified election results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3" at 100%, followed by "1" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds" has generated $2.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds" is "3" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.