Market icon
Economy·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

Market icon
Economy·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

2.6M-2.8M 75%

2.8M-3.0M 38%

<2.6M 9.0%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$15,638 Vol.

2.6M-2.8M 75%

2.8M-3.0M 38%

<2.6M 9.0%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$15,638 Vol.

<2.6M

$1,205 Vol.

12%

2.6M-2.8M

$283 Vol.

74%

2.8M-3.0M

$12,818 Vol.

24%

3.0M-3.2M

$225 Vol.

1%

3.2M-3.4M

$393 Vol.

<1%

>3.4M

$774 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 29, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors the 2.6M-2.8M passenger bin at 73% implied probability for March 29 TSA throughput, reflecting robust spring break demand projecting 2.8 million daily travelers through April amid a record 171 million expected flyers, offset by acute TSA staffing shortages from the ongoing DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes underscore this positioning: March 26 Thursday hit 2.72 million, following midweek dips to 2.19 million on March 24, while the prior Saturday March 22 peaked at 2.87 million; the seven-day moving average stands at 2.59 million, up 0.6% year-over-year. Elevated weekend patterns and resilient consumer travel appetite dominate, though 40-50% officer callout rates signal potential volume suppression ahead of tomorrow's Saturday resolution.

Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors the 2.6M-2.8M passenger bin at 73% implied probability for March 29 TSA throughput, reflecting robust spring break demand projecting 2.8 million daily travelers through April amid a record 171 million expected flyers, offset by acute TSA staffing shortages from the ongoing DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes underscore this positioning: March 26 Thursday hit 2.72 million, following midweek dips to 2.19 million on March 24, while the prior Saturday March 22 peaked at 2.87 million; the seven-day moving average stands at 2.59 million, up 0.6% year-over-year. Elevated weekend patterns and resilient consumer travel appetite dominate, though 40-50% officer callout rates signal potential volume suppression ahead of tomorrow's Saturday resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 29, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors the 2.6M-2.8M passenger bin at 73% implied probability for March 29 TSA throughput, reflecting robust spring break demand projecting 2.8 million daily travelers through April amid a record 171 million expected flyers, offset by acute TSA staffing shortages from the ongoing DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes underscore this positioning: March 26 Thursday hit 2.72 million, following midweek dips to 2.19 million on March 24, while the prior Saturday March 22 peaked at 2.87 million; the seven-day moving average stands at 2.59 million, up 0.6% year-over-year. Elevated weekend patterns and resilient consumer travel appetite dominate, though 40-50% officer callout rates signal potential volume suppression ahead of tomorrow's Saturday resolution.

Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors the 2.6M-2.8M passenger bin at 73% implied probability for March 29 TSA throughput, reflecting robust spring break demand projecting 2.8 million daily travelers through April amid a record 171 million expected flyers, offset by acute TSA staffing shortages from the ongoing DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes underscore this positioning: March 26 Thursday hit 2.72 million, following midweek dips to 2.19 million on March 24, while the prior Saturday March 22 peaked at 2.87 million; the seven-day moving average stands at 2.59 million, up 0.6% year-over-year. Elevated weekend patterns and resilient consumer travel appetite dominate, though 40-50% officer callout rates signal potential volume suppression ahead of tomorrow's Saturday resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA Passengers March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2.6M-2.8M" at 74%, followed by "2.8M-3.0M" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Number of TSA Passengers March 29?" has generated $15.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Number of TSA Passengers March 29?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA Passengers March 29?" is "2.6M-2.8M" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2.8M-3.0M" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA Passengers March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.