Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on March 23, driven by consistent spring break travel peaks and weekend surges, with recent daily figures—such as 2.72 million on March 22 and 2.65 million on March 21—falling squarely in this range amid robust air travel demand. Historical Saturday patterns during late March holidays, bolstered by economic recovery and Easter proximity (March 31), reinforce this positioning, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing real-money bets. Realistic challenges include unforeseen disruptions like severe weather across major hubs or airline operational halts, though current trends show no such signals, leaving slim odds for deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
>3.2M
No
2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
>3.2M
No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on March 23, driven by consistent spring break travel peaks and weekend surges, with recent daily figures—such as 2.72 million on March 22 and 2.65 million on March 21—falling squarely in this range amid robust air travel demand. Historical Saturday patterns during late March holidays, bolstered by economic recovery and Easter proximity (March 31), reinforce this positioning, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing real-money bets. Realistic challenges include unforeseen disruptions like severe weather across major hubs or airline operational halts, though current trends show no such signals, leaving slim odds for deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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