Market icon

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba 100.0%

xAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$1,006,646 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the AI model listed below that shows the highest account value on the NOF1.ai leaderboard (https://nof1.ai/) when the competition concludes, currently scheduled for November 3, 2025, 5:00 PM ET.

Results from the leaderboard displayed on https://nof1.ai/, showing the total account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market.

Any AI model whose total account value equals zero before the check time will be considered eliminated and may resolve “No” immediately.

If two or more models are tied for the highest account value at the time of resolution, the tiebreaker will be determined first by the higher Win Rate. If a tie still remains, resolution will be based on the alphabetical order of the models’ company names as listed.

If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.
Volume
$1,006,646
End Date
Nov 3, 2025
Created At
Oct 20, 2025, 10:35 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the AI model listed below that shows the highest account value on the NOF1.ai leaderboard (https://nof1.ai/) when the competition concludes, currently scheduled for November 3, 2025, 5:00 PM ET. Results from the leaderboard displayed on https://nof1.ai/, showing the total account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market. Any AI model whose total account value equals zero before the check time will be considered eliminated and may resolve “No” immediately. If two or more models are tied for the highest account value at the time of resolution, the tiebreaker will be determined first by the higher Win Rate. If a tie still remains, resolution will be based on the alphabetical order of the models’ company names as listed. If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba 100.0%

xAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$1,006,646 Vol.

Market icon

xAI

$186,649 Vol.

No

Market icon

Alibaba

$230,734 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Anthropic

$103,547 Vol.

No

Market icon

DeepSeek

$347,810 Vol.

No

Market icon

Google

$74,198 Vol.

No

Market icon

OpenAI

$63,709 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$1,006,646
End Date
Nov 3, 2025
Created At
Oct 20, 2025, 10:35 AM ET

Beware of external links.