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Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP

Market icon

Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP

FVD

>99% chance
Polymarket

$9,839 Vol.

FVD

>99% chance
Polymarket

$9,839 Vol.

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 29 October 2025.

This market will resolve to "FVD" if, after the election, the number of seats held by Forum for Democracy (FVD) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by the Socialist Party (SP).

This market will resolve to "SP" if, after the election, the number of seats held by the Socialist Party (SP) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by Forum for Democracy (FVD).

If both parties hold the same number of seats or if voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective parties.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Volume
$9,839
End Date
Oct 29, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 24, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 29 October 2025. This market will resolve to "FVD" if, after the election, the number of seats held by Forum for Democracy (FVD) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by the Socialist Party (SP). This market will resolve to "SP" if, after the election, the number of seats held by the Socialist Party (SP) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by Forum for Democracy (FVD). If both parties hold the same number of seats or if voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective parties. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Outcome proposed: FVD

No dispute

Final outcome: FVD

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 29 October 2025.

This market will resolve to "FVD" if, after the election, the number of seats held by Forum for Democracy (FVD) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by the Socialist Party (SP).

This market will resolve to "SP" if, after the election, the number of seats held by the Socialist Party (SP) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by Forum for Democracy (FVD).

If both parties hold the same number of seats or if voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective parties.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Volume
$9,839
End Date
Oct 29, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 24, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 29 October 2025. This market will resolve to "FVD" if, after the election, the number of seats held by Forum for Democracy (FVD) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by the Socialist Party (SP). This market will resolve to "SP" if, after the election, the number of seats held by the Socialist Party (SP) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by Forum for Democracy (FVD). If both parties hold the same number of seats or if voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective parties. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Outcome proposed: FVD

No dispute

Final outcome: FVD

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 24, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP" is "Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.