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Elections·Global Elections

Netherlands Parliamentary Election

icon for Netherlands Parliamentary Election
Elections·Global Elections

Netherlands Parliamentary Election

D66 100.0%

PVV <1%

GL/PvdA <1%

VVD <1%

Polymarket

$32,791,393 Vol.

D66 100.0%

PVV <1%

GL/PvdA <1%

VVD <1%

Polymarket

$32,791,393 Vol.

icon for PVV

PVV

$10,147,547 Vol.

No

icon for GL/PvdA

GL/PvdA

$1,679,680 Vol.

No

icon for VVD

VVD

$2,826,083 Vol.

No

icon for NSC

NSC

$888,174 Vol.

No

icon for D66

D66

$5,979,751 Vol.

Yes

icon for BBB

BBB

$1,914,608 Vol.

No

icon for CDA

CDA

$2,037,728 Vol.

No

icon for SP

SP

$1,297,463 Vol.

No

icon for Denk

Denk

$329,132 Vol.

No

icon for PvdD

PvdD

$646,092 Vol.

No

icon for FvD

FvD

$1,887,722 Vol.

No

icon for SGP

SGP

$255,530 Vol.

No

icon for CU

CU

$665,980 Vol.

No

icon for Volt

Volt

$569,777 Vol.

No

icon for JA21

JA21

$1,666,126 Vol.

No

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).
Volume
$32,791,393
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2025, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).
Volume
$32,791,393
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2025, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Netherlands Parliamentary Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "D66" at 100%, followed by "PVV" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Netherlands Parliamentary Election" has generated $32.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Netherlands Parliamentary Election," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Netherlands Parliamentary Election" is "D66" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "PVV" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Netherlands Parliamentary Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.