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Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
2
Time left
TWEETS
2
Time left

<20 96.2%

20-39 2.1%

40-59 1.1%

160-179 1.1%

Polymarket

$18,976 Vol.

<20 96.2%

20-39 2.1%

40-59 1.1%

160-179 1.1%

Polymarket

$18,976 Vol.

<20

$7,175 Vol.

91%

20-39

$2,023 Vol.

2%

40-59

$1,130 Vol.

1%

60-79

$1,671 Vol.

1%

80-99

$1,011 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$896 Vol.

1%

120-139

$979 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$915 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$1,069 Vol.

1%

180-199

$1,069 Vol.

<1%

200+

$1,039 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account during March 27–April 3, reflecting its shift to archival reposts of past statements since his confirmed death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026. The bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," and activity remains sparse—two posts so far this week (March 27 and 28, quoting old remarks on US interference and regional resistance)—consistent with 1–2 weekly prior to his passing amid escalating Iran conflict. Successor Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account (@Rahbarenghelab_). A surge to challenge this would require unusual office directives, such as intensified propaganda amid military escalation or diplomatic developments, though historical patterns and memorial focus make that improbable.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account during March 27–April 3, reflecting its shift to archival reposts of past statements since his confirmed death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026. The bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," and activity remains sparse—two posts so far this week (March 27 and 28, quoting old remarks on US interference and regional resistance)—consistent with 1–2 weekly prior to his passing amid escalating Iran conflict. Successor Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account (@Rahbarenghelab_). A surge to challenge this would require unusual office directives, such as intensified propaganda amid military escalation or diplomatic developments, though historical patterns and memorial focus make that improbable.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account during March 27–April 3, reflecting its shift to archival reposts of past statements since his confirmed death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026. The bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," and activity remains sparse—two posts so far this week (March 27 and 28, quoting old remarks on US interference and regional resistance)—consistent with 1–2 weekly prior to his passing amid escalating Iran conflict. Successor Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account (@Rahbarenghelab_). A surge to challenge this would require unusual office directives, such as intensified propaganda amid military escalation or diplomatic developments, though historical patterns and memorial focus make that improbable.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account during March 27–April 3, reflecting its shift to archival reposts of past statements since his confirmed death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026. The bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," and activity remains sparse—two posts so far this week (March 27 and 28, quoting old remarks on US interference and regional resistance)—consistent with 1–2 weekly prior to his passing amid escalating Iran conflict. Successor Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account (@Rahbarenghelab_). A surge to challenge this would require unusual office directives, such as intensified propaganda amid military escalation or diplomatic developments, though historical patterns and memorial focus make that improbable.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<20" at 91%, followed by "20-39" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" has generated $19K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is "<20" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20-39" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.