January Unemployment Rate
$24,723 Vol.
4.4% 43%
4.6% 26%
4.3% 21%
4.5% 15%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
≤4.2%
$73 Vol.
12%
≤4.2%
$73 Vol.
12%
4.3%
$42 Vol.
21%
4.3%
$42 Vol.
21%
4.4%
$11,543 Vol.
43%
4.4%
$11,543 Vol.
43%
4.5%
$40 Vol.
15%
4.5%
$40 Vol.
15%
4.6%
$12,736 Vol.
26%
4.6%
$12,736 Vol.
26%
≥4.7%
$289 Vol.
8%
≥4.7%
$289 Vol.
8%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for January 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The next data release is scheduled for February 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for January is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The next data release is scheduled for February 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for January is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jan 9, 2026, 7:24 PM UTC
Volume
$24,723End Date
Feb 6, 2026Created At
Jan 9, 2026, 7:24 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$24,723 Vol.
January Unemployment Rate
4.4% 43%
4.6% 26%
4.3% 21%
4.5% 15%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
≤4.2%
$73 Vol.
12%
4.3%
$42 Vol.
21%
4.4%
$11,543 Vol.
43%
4.5%
$40 Vol.
15%
4.6%
$12,736 Vol.
26%
≥4.7%
$289 Vol.
8%
About
Volume
$24,723End Date
Feb 6, 2026Created At
Jan 9, 2026, 7:24 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.