Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88.1%

500-750k 8.4%

<250k 3.3%

750k-1m 1.3%

$4,613,690 Vol.

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 500,000 (inclusive) and 750,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,613,690
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88.1%

500-750k 8.4%

<250k 3.3%

750k-1m 1.3%

$4,613,690 Vol.

<250k

$977,360 Vol.

3%

250-500k

$1,057,888 Vol.

88%

500-750k

$450,741 Vol.

8%

750k-1m

$405,988 Vol.

1%

1-1.25m

$410,790 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$331,061 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$364,013 Vol.

1%

1.75-2m

$301,309 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$314,541 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,613,690
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.