Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88.2%

500-750k 6.0%

<250k 3.1%

750k-1m 1.8%

$4,506,394 Vol

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 500,000 (inclusive) and 750,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,506,394
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
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Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88.2%

500-750k 6.0%

<250k 3.1%

750k-1m 1.8%

$4,506,394 Vol

<250k

$958,729 Vol.

3%

250-500k

$1,047,840 Vol.

88%

500-750k

$443,274 Vol.

6%

750k-1m

$389,474 Vol.

2%

1-1.25m

$382,944 Vol.

<1%

1.25-1.5m

$323,954 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$354,062 Vol.

<1%

1.75-2m

$295,973 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$310,145 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,506,394
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
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Beware of external links.