Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

$4,476,166 Vol.

250-500k 87.3%

500-750k 5.2%

<250k 5.0%

750k-1m 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,476,166
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
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$4,476,166 Vol.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 87.3%

500-750k 5.2%

<250k 5.0%

750k-1m 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<250k

$952,303 Vol.

5%

250-500k

$1,046,490 Vol.

87%

500-750k

$441,026 Vol.

5%

750k-1m

$386,719 Vol.

2%

1-1.25m

$378,236 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$321,209 Vol.

1%

1.5-1.75m

$350,193 Vol.

<1%

1.75-2m

$294,237 Vol.

1%

2m+

$305,754 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,476,166
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.