Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

$4,475,971 Vol.

250-500k 88.3%

<250k 6.0%

500-750k 4.2%

750k-1m 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,475,971
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
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$4,475,971 Vol.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88.3%

<250k 6.0%

500-750k 4.2%

750k-1m 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<250k

$952,228 Vol.

6%

250-500k

$1,046,471 Vol.

88%

500-750k

$441,008 Vol.

4%

750k-1m

$386,705 Vol.

2%

1-1.25m

$378,222 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$321,195 Vol.

1%

1.5-1.75m

$350,179 Vol.

1%

1.75-2m

$294,223 Vol.

1%

2m+

$305,740 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,475,971
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.