Market icon

How many jobs added in February?

Market icon

How many jobs added in February?

<25k 100.0%

25k–50k <1%

50k–75k <1%

75k–100k <1%

Polymarket

$104,856 Vol.

<25k 100.0%

25k–50k <1%

50k–75k <1%

75k–100k <1%

Polymarket

$104,856 Vol.

<25k

$22,493 Vol.

Yes

25k–50k

$10,024 Vol.

No

50k–75k

$15,935 Vol.

No

75k–100k

$19,484 Vol.

No

100k–125k

$4,994 Vol.

No

125k–150k

$5,108 Vol.

No

150k–175k

$13,355 Vol.

No

175k+

$13,463 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for February 2026, scheduled to be released on March 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$104,856
End Date
Mar 6, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for February 2026, scheduled to be released on March 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many jobs added in February?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<25k" at 100%, followed by "25k–50k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many jobs added in February?" has generated $104.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many jobs added in February?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many jobs added in February?" is "<25k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25k–50k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many jobs added in February?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.