Market icon
Geopolitics·Trump

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Market icon
Geopolitics·Trump

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Dec 18, 2025

Dec 31

Dec 18, 2025

Dec 31

0 30%

1-100 19.4%

25k-100k 9.3%

101-1k 8.8%

Polymarket

$118,800 Vol.

0 30%

1-100 19.4%

25k-100k 9.3%

101-1k 8.8%

Polymarket

$118,800 Vol.

0

$23,864 Vol.

30%

1-100

$9,694 Vol.

19%

101-1k

$4,777 Vol.

9%

1k-2.5k

$7,225 Vol.

8%

2.5k-5k

$4,216 Vol.

8%

5k-10k

$4,525 Vol.

7%

10k-25k

$51,594 Vol.

7%

25k-100k

$4,096 Vol.

9%

>100k

$8,807 Vol.

5%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 27.5%, driven by a federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenging the program's executive order basis for displacing EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, alongside no verified issuances despite 70,000 estimated applicants and December 2025 claims of $1.3 billion in initial sales. Low uptake stems from the $1 million contribution—plus $15,000 DHS fee—versus cheaper, recoupable EB-5 investments, processing delays at USCIS, and reversal risks post-Trump. The tight contest among low-volume brackets reflects pending government lawsuit response and potential approvals; favorable rulings, official sales data, or expedited vetting could elevate mid-range outcomes like 1-100 or 101-1k.

Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 27.5%, driven by a federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenging the program's executive order basis for displacing EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, alongside no verified issuances despite 70,000 estimated applicants and December 2025 claims of $1.3 billion in initial sales. Low uptake stems from the $1 million contribution—plus $15,000 DHS fee—versus cheaper, recoupable EB-5 investments, processing delays at USCIS, and reversal risks post-Trump. The tight contest among low-volume brackets reflects pending government lawsuit response and potential approvals; favorable rulings, official sales data, or expedited vetting could elevate mid-range outcomes like 1-100 or 101-1k.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 27.5%, driven by a federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenging the program's executive order basis for displacing EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, alongside no verified issuances despite 70,000 estimated applicants and December 2025 claims of $1.3 billion in initial sales. Low uptake stems from the $1 million contribution—plus $15,000 DHS fee—versus cheaper, recoupable EB-5 investments, processing delays at USCIS, and reversal risks post-Trump. The tight contest among low-volume brackets reflects pending government lawsuit response and potential approvals; favorable rulings, official sales data, or expedited vetting could elevate mid-range outcomes like 1-100 or 101-1k.

Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 27.5%, driven by a federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenging the program's executive order basis for displacing EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, alongside no verified issuances despite 70,000 estimated applicants and December 2025 claims of $1.3 billion in initial sales. Low uptake stems from the $1 million contribution—plus $15,000 DHS fee—versus cheaper, recoupable EB-5 investments, processing delays at USCIS, and reversal risks post-Trump. The tight contest among low-volume brackets reflects pending government lawsuit response and potential approvals; favorable rulings, official sales data, or expedited vetting could elevate mid-range outcomes like 1-100 or 101-1k.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 30%, followed by "1-100" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?" has generated $118.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?" is "0" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1-100" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.