Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 24°C in Tel Aviv at Ben Gurion International Airport on March 28, driven by converging hourly forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated on TimeandDate and Weather2Travel, projecting a midday peak of 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Morning observations already hit 22°C by late morning amid sunny conditions and a noted rise in temperatures, aligning with high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud formation and enhancing solar heating above March's typical 20–21°C average. Realistic challenges include strengthening sea breezes capping heating at 23°C or brief afternoon cloud buildup; real-time Ben Gurion readings through late afternoon will confirm resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?
24°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
25°C <1%
$57,804 Vol.
$57,804 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
22°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
25°C <1%
$57,804 Vol.
$57,804 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
22°C
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,421 Vol.
100%
25°C
$4,630 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,573 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$4,637 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 24°C in Tel Aviv at Ben Gurion International Airport on March 28, driven by converging hourly forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated on TimeandDate and Weather2Travel, projecting a midday peak of 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Morning observations already hit 22°C by late morning amid sunny conditions and a noted rise in temperatures, aligning with high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud formation and enhancing solar heating above March's typical 20–21°C average. Realistic challenges include strengthening sea breezes capping heating at 23°C or brief afternoon cloud buildup; real-time Ben Gurion readings through late afternoon will confirm resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$57,804End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 24°C in Tel Aviv at Ben Gurion International Airport on March 28, driven by converging hourly forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated on TimeandDate and Weather2Travel, projecting a midday peak of 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Morning observations already hit 22°C by late morning amid sunny conditions and a noted rise in temperatures, aligning with high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud formation and enhancing solar heating above March's typical 20–21°C average. Realistic challenges include strengthening sea breezes capping heating at 23°C or brief afternoon cloud buildup; real-time Ben Gurion readings through late afternoon will confirm resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,804End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 24°C in Tel Aviv at Ben Gurion International Airport on March 28, driven by converging hourly forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated on TimeandDate and Weather2Travel, projecting a midday peak of 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Morning observations already hit 22°C by late morning amid sunny conditions and a noted rise in temperatures, aligning with high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud formation and enhancing solar heating above March's typical 20–21°C average. Realistic challenges include strengthening sea breezes capping heating at 23°C or brief afternoon cloud buildup; real-time Ben Gurion readings through late afternoon will confirm resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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