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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?

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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

24°C 99.0%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

27°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$53,428 Vol.

24°C 99.0%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

27°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$53,428 Vol.

22°C

$6,209 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$4,005 Vol.

99%

25°C

$4,212 Vol.

1%

26°C

$3,240 Vol.

<1%

27°C or higher

$3,676 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain implied odds (98.9%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution point—driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and rising daytime heating from morning lows near 14–17°C. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peak solar insolation under a weak high-pressure ridge, consistent with late-March climatology where average highs hover around 20–22°C but allow outliers on stable days. Realistic challenges include intensified sea-breeze cooling or mid-level clouds capping at 22°C, or unexpected clearing and warm air advection pushing to 25°C+; monitor hourly METAR observations from LLBG through afternoon for confirmation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain implied odds (98.9%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution point—driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and rising daytime heating from morning lows near 14–17°C. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peak solar insolation under a weak high-pressure ridge, consistent with late-March climatology where average highs hover around 20–22°C but allow outliers on stable days. Realistic challenges include intensified sea-breeze cooling or mid-level clouds capping at 22°C, or unexpected clearing and warm air advection pushing to 25°C+; monitor hourly METAR observations from LLBG through afternoon for confirmation.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain implied odds (98.9%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution point—driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and rising daytime heating from morning lows near 14–17°C. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peak solar insolation under a weak high-pressure ridge, consistent with late-March climatology where average highs hover around 20–22°C but allow outliers on stable days. Realistic challenges include intensified sea-breeze cooling or mid-level clouds capping at 22°C, or unexpected clearing and warm air advection pushing to 25°C+; monitor hourly METAR observations from LLBG through afternoon for confirmation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain implied odds (98.9%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution point—driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and rising daytime heating from morning lows near 14–17°C. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peak solar insolation under a weak high-pressure ridge, consistent with late-March climatology where average highs hover around 20–22°C but allow outliers on stable days. Realistic challenges include intensified sea-breeze cooling or mid-level clouds capping at 22°C, or unexpected clearing and warm air advection pushing to 25°C+; monitor hourly METAR observations from LLBG through afternoon for confirmation.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24°C" at 99%, followed by "25°C" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" has generated $53.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" is "24°C" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.