Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) that Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 28 reached exactly 28°C, driven by official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 28°C amid humid, partly cloudy conditions. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF align with this, projecting no further intensification due to increasing cloud cover, light winds, and diurnal cooling as sunset approaches. March climatology supports such highs occasionally exceeding the 23–25°C average under high-pressure influence, but a challenge to this positioning would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden clearing skies before midnight resolution. Final station data expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?
$306,177 Vol.
$306,177 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
<1%
$306,177 Vol.
$306,177 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
28°C
$24,451 Vol.
100%
29°C or higher
$23,896 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) that Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 28 reached exactly 28°C, driven by official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 28°C amid humid, partly cloudy conditions. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF align with this, projecting no further intensification due to increasing cloud cover, light winds, and diurnal cooling as sunset approaches. March climatology supports such highs occasionally exceeding the 23–25°C average under high-pressure influence, but a challenge to this positioning would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden clearing skies before midnight resolution. Final station data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:50 AM ET
Volume
$306,177End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) that Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 28 reached exactly 28°C, driven by official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 28°C amid humid, partly cloudy conditions. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF align with this, projecting no further intensification due to increasing cloud cover, light winds, and diurnal cooling as sunset approaches. March climatology supports such highs occasionally exceeding the 23–25°C average under high-pressure influence, but a challenge to this positioning would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden clearing skies before midnight resolution. Final station data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$306,177End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) that Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 28 reached exactly 28°C, driven by official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 28°C amid humid, partly cloudy conditions. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF align with this, projecting no further intensification due to increasing cloud cover, light winds, and diurnal cooling as sunset approaches. March climatology supports such highs occasionally exceeding the 23–25°C average under high-pressure influence, but a challenge to this positioning would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden clearing skies before midnight resolution. Final station data expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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