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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

52-53°F 34%

50-51°F 23%

54-55°F 22%

48-49°F 10%

Polymarket

$19,942 Vol.

52-53°F 34%

50-51°F 23%

54-55°F 22%

48-49°F 10%

Polymarket

$19,942 Vol.

47°F or below

$6,288 Vol.

5%

48-49°F

$1,544 Vol.

10%

50-51°F

$2,604 Vol.

23%

52-53°F

$1,555 Vol.

34%

54-55°F

$2,330 Vol.

22%

56-57°F

$895 Vol.

8%

58-59°F

$1,140 Vol.

2%

60-61°F

$1,273 Vol.

1%

62-63°F

$702 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$688 Vol.

<1%

66°F or higher

$923 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36.5% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting 51-52°F amid building high pressure and southerly flow ushering mild air after today's chilly 30-40°F readings under lingering northwest winds from a recent cold front. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows tight agreement on highs near 52°F with partly cloudy skies, low precipitation risk, and light winds, aligning with late-March climatological normals of 52°F at Central Park while acknowledging typical 3-5°F uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects. Watch for 12z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions ahead of resolution based on official observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36.5% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting 51-52°F amid building high pressure and southerly flow ushering mild air after today's chilly 30-40°F readings under lingering northwest winds from a recent cold front. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows tight agreement on highs near 52°F with partly cloudy skies, low precipitation risk, and light winds, aligning with late-March climatological normals of 52°F at Central Park while acknowledging typical 3-5°F uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects. Watch for 12z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions ahead of resolution based on official observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36.5% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting 51-52°F amid building high pressure and southerly flow ushering mild air after today's chilly 30-40°F readings under lingering northwest winds from a recent cold front. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows tight agreement on highs near 52°F with partly cloudy skies, low precipitation risk, and light winds, aligning with late-March climatological normals of 52°F at Central Park while acknowledging typical 3-5°F uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects. Watch for 12z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions ahead of resolution based on official observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36.5% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting 51-52°F amid building high pressure and southerly flow ushering mild air after today's chilly 30-40°F readings under lingering northwest winds from a recent cold front. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows tight agreement on highs near 52°F with partly cloudy skies, low precipitation risk, and light winds, aligning with late-March climatological normals of 52°F at Central Park while acknowledging typical 3-5°F uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects. Watch for 12z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions ahead of resolution based on official observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "52-53°F" at 34%, followed by "50-51°F" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" has generated $19.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is "52-53°F" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-51°F" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.