Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 37°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 30, 2026, backed by official Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from the Lucknow Airport station, which recorded this peak amid dry conditions and an appreciable daytime rise of 2–4°C across the region. Clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge over the Indo-Gangetic Plain facilitated the warming, aligning with seasonal climatology where late-March maxima frequently hit 35–38°C following winter's retreat. Pre-event forecasts from IMD pinpointed around 37°C, cementing trader confidence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution but could arise from rare data audits revealing station discrepancies or quality-control revisions, though IMD measurements serve as the authoritative resolution source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 30?
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$81,154 Vol.
$81,154 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$81,154 Vol.
$81,154 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 37°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 30, 2026, backed by official Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from the Lucknow Airport station, which recorded this peak amid dry conditions and an appreciable daytime rise of 2–4°C across the region. Clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge over the Indo-Gangetic Plain facilitated the warming, aligning with seasonal climatology where late-March maxima frequently hit 35–38°C following winter's retreat. Pre-event forecasts from IMD pinpointed around 37°C, cementing trader confidence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution but could arise from rare data audits revealing station discrepancies or quality-control revisions, though IMD measurements serve as the authoritative resolution source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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