Market-implied odds favor 36°C (32%) slightly over 37°C (29%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 1, capturing India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-range forecast consensus amid pre-monsoon warming in Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show maximums steady near 35.7°C on March 29, with gradual 1-2°C rises expected as thunderstorm risks subside—no warnings issued for April 1 after prior squalls through March 31. Differentiating factors include potential residual cloud cover capping peaks at 35-36°C versus clear skies and low humidity boosting to 37-38°C, consistent with early-April climatology averaging 36°C highs. IMD's March 31 advisory and upper-air data will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
36°C 32%
37°C 26%
35°C 17%
38°C 14%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
17%
36°C
32%
37°C
26%
38°C
14%
39°C
9%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 32%
37°C 26%
35°C 17%
38°C 14%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
17%
36°C
32%
37°C
26%
38°C
14%
39°C
9%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor 36°C (32%) slightly over 37°C (29%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 1, capturing India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-range forecast consensus amid pre-monsoon warming in Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show maximums steady near 35.7°C on March 29, with gradual 1-2°C rises expected as thunderstorm risks subside—no warnings issued for April 1 after prior squalls through March 31. Differentiating factors include potential residual cloud cover capping peaks at 35-36°C versus clear skies and low humidity boosting to 37-38°C, consistent with early-April climatology averaging 36°C highs. IMD's March 31 advisory and upper-air data will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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