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Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

84-85°F 32%

86-87°F 25.1%

82-83°F 23.7%

80-81°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

84-85°F 32%

86-87°F 25.1%

82-83°F 23.7%

80-81°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

79°F or below

$1,653 Vol.

2%

80-81°F

$370 Vol.

11%

82-83°F

$547 Vol.

24%

84-85°F

$709 Vol.

32%

86-87°F

$522 Vol.

25%

88-89°F

$903 Vol.

9%

90-91°F

$319 Vol.

3%

92-93°F

$177 Vol.

1%

94-95°F

$402 Vol.

<1%

96-97°F

$457 Vol.

<1%

98°F or higher

$498 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts a high of 85°F in the Dallas-Fort Worth area today under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 84-85°F at 30.5% implied probability amid a warm early spring pattern featuring recent record highs broken on March 22 and NOAA's above-normal temperature outlook. Close competition from 82-83°F (23.7%) and 86-87°F (21.9%) stems from model discrepancies—GFS ensembles showing slight cooling from boundary layer mixing and elevated humidity, while hotter ECMWF runs suggest stronger ridging for enhanced solar insolation. Current midday readings near 81°F with few clouds indicate peak heating potential near 85°F, though evolving cloud cover or wind shifts could tip outcomes; hourly observations at DFW Airport will refine resolution as afternoon progresses.

National Weather Service forecasts a high of 85°F in the Dallas-Fort Worth area today under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 84-85°F at 30.5% implied probability amid a warm early spring pattern featuring recent record highs broken on March 22 and NOAA's above-normal temperature outlook. Close competition from 82-83°F (23.7%) and 86-87°F (21.9%) stems from model discrepancies—GFS ensembles showing slight cooling from boundary layer mixing and elevated humidity, while hotter ECMWF runs suggest stronger ridging for enhanced solar insolation. Current midday readings near 81°F with few clouds indicate peak heating potential near 85°F, though evolving cloud cover or wind shifts could tip outcomes; hourly observations at DFW Airport will refine resolution as afternoon progresses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts a high of 85°F in the Dallas-Fort Worth area today under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 84-85°F at 30.5% implied probability amid a warm early spring pattern featuring recent record highs broken on March 22 and NOAA's above-normal temperature outlook. Close competition from 82-83°F (23.7%) and 86-87°F (21.9%) stems from model discrepancies—GFS ensembles showing slight cooling from boundary layer mixing and elevated humidity, while hotter ECMWF runs suggest stronger ridging for enhanced solar insolation. Current midday readings near 81°F with few clouds indicate peak heating potential near 85°F, though evolving cloud cover or wind shifts could tip outcomes; hourly observations at DFW Airport will refine resolution as afternoon progresses.

National Weather Service forecasts a high of 85°F in the Dallas-Fort Worth area today under mostly sunny skies and breezy southwesterly winds, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 84-85°F at 30.5% implied probability amid a warm early spring pattern featuring recent record highs broken on March 22 and NOAA's above-normal temperature outlook. Close competition from 82-83°F (23.7%) and 86-87°F (21.9%) stems from model discrepancies—GFS ensembles showing slight cooling from boundary layer mixing and elevated humidity, while hotter ECMWF runs suggest stronger ridging for enhanced solar insolation. Current midday readings near 81°F with few clouds indicate peak heating potential near 85°F, though evolving cloud cover or wind shifts could tip outcomes; hourly observations at DFW Airport will refine resolution as afternoon progresses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 32%, followed by "86-87°F" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?" is "84-85°F" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "86-87°F" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.