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Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?

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Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

84-85°F 45%

82-83°F 35%

86°F or higher 15%

80-81°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

84-85°F 45%

82-83°F 35%

86°F or higher 15%

80-81°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

67°F or below

$702 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$362 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$378 Vol.

<1%

72-73°F

$2,776 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$247 Vol.

<1%

76-77°F

$297 Vol.

<1%

78-79°F

$186 Vol.

4%

80-81°F

$193 Vol.

16%

82-83°F

$224 Vol.

35%

84-85°F

$365 Vol.

45%

86°F or higher

$211 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Hobby Airport project a daytime high near 83-84°F on March 30 under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-10 mph, aligning trader sentiment with 46% implied probability on 84-85°F and 35% on 82-83°F. This consensus reflects building high pressure over Texas fostering subsidence and warm air advection after a cooler weekend with highs in the 70s from March 28-29, when overnight lows dipped to the upper 50s inland. Above the March climatological average of 74°F, conditions favor rapid heating post-sunrise at 7:13 AM CDT, though sea breeze onset and minor cloudiness could cap peaks. Hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine resolution as maximum temperatures typically occur 3-5 PM CDT.

National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Hobby Airport project a daytime high near 83-84°F on March 30 under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-10 mph, aligning trader sentiment with 46% implied probability on 84-85°F and 35% on 82-83°F. This consensus reflects building high pressure over Texas fostering subsidence and warm air advection after a cooler weekend with highs in the 70s from March 28-29, when overnight lows dipped to the upper 50s inland. Above the March climatological average of 74°F, conditions favor rapid heating post-sunrise at 7:13 AM CDT, though sea breeze onset and minor cloudiness could cap peaks. Hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine resolution as maximum temperatures typically occur 3-5 PM CDT.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Hobby Airport project a daytime high near 83-84°F on March 30 under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-10 mph, aligning trader sentiment with 46% implied probability on 84-85°F and 35% on 82-83°F. This consensus reflects building high pressure over Texas fostering subsidence and warm air advection after a cooler weekend with highs in the 70s from March 28-29, when overnight lows dipped to the upper 50s inland. Above the March climatological average of 74°F, conditions favor rapid heating post-sunrise at 7:13 AM CDT, though sea breeze onset and minor cloudiness could cap peaks. Hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine resolution as maximum temperatures typically occur 3-5 PM CDT.

National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Hobby Airport project a daytime high near 83-84°F on March 30 under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-10 mph, aligning trader sentiment with 46% implied probability on 84-85°F and 35% on 82-83°F. This consensus reflects building high pressure over Texas fostering subsidence and warm air advection after a cooler weekend with highs in the 70s from March 28-29, when overnight lows dipped to the upper 50s inland. Above the March climatological average of 74°F, conditions favor rapid heating post-sunrise at 7:13 AM CDT, though sea breeze onset and minor cloudiness could cap peaks. Hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine resolution as maximum temperatures typically occur 3-5 PM CDT.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 45%, followed by "82-83°F" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?" is "84-85°F" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "82-83°F" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.