Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F on March 24, mirroring the National Weather Service's point forecast of 83°F amid a stable upper-level ridge promoting warm advection. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range over recent runs, with minimal spread indicating high confidence; dewpoints in the 50s°F support efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity. Historical March norms hover around 70°F, but this anomalously warm pattern—fueled by southward jet stream displacement—anchors the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front surge or persistent cloud cover from upstream disturbances, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though current guidance assigns near-zero probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 24?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 24?
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F on March 24, mirroring the National Weather Service's point forecast of 83°F amid a stable upper-level ridge promoting warm advection. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range over recent runs, with minimal spread indicating high confidence; dewpoints in the 50s°F support efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity. Historical March norms hover around 70°F, but this anomalously warm pattern—fueled by southward jet stream displacement—anchors the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front surge or persistent cloud cover from upstream disturbances, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though current guidance assigns near-zero probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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