Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 92-93°F on March 22, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models showing peak heating to 92°F amid high pressure ridging, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and ample sunshine with dewpoints in the 50s°F boosting instability minimally. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs since March 20 has converged tightly on this range, aligning with observed trends of above-normal March warmth—Dallas's 30-year average high is 67°F—but tempered by no extreme heat signals. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated mid-afternoon cloud deck from upstream moisture or a faster-moving shortwave trough dipping south, potentially capping highs at 90°F or spiking to 95°F if winds strengthen.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 22?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 22?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 92-93°F on March 22, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models showing peak heating to 92°F amid high pressure ridging, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and ample sunshine with dewpoints in the 50s°F boosting instability minimally. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs since March 20 has converged tightly on this range, aligning with observed trends of above-normal March warmth—Dallas's 30-year average high is 67°F—but tempered by no extreme heat signals. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated mid-afternoon cloud deck from upstream moisture or a faster-moving shortwave trough dipping south, potentially capping highs at 90°F or spiking to 95°F if winds strengthen.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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