National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, have converged on a high temperature of 88-89°F for March 25, fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge building warm air advection over Central Texas amid light southerly winds and ample sunshine. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with minimal spread around this range, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions including low cloud cover potential and dewpoints in the 50s°F supporting daytime heating without excessive humidity. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds from the south or a faster-moving weak disturbance altering the ridge, though current soundings indicate low likelihood before evening observations refine the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on March 25?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 25?
88-89°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, have converged on a high temperature of 88-89°F for March 25, fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge building warm air advection over Central Texas amid light southerly winds and ample sunshine. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with minimal spread around this range, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions including low cloud cover potential and dewpoints in the 50s°F supporting daytime heating without excessive humidity. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds from the south or a faster-moving weak disturbance altering the ridge, though current soundings indicate low likelihood before evening observations refine the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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