Market icon

GDP growth in 2025

2.0–2.5% 79%

>2.5% 20.0%

1.5–2.0% <1%

1.0–1.5% <1%

$882,397 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2025, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2024 to the annual level in 2025. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$882,397
End Date
Jan 29, 2026
Created At
Aug 15, 2025, 3:31 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

GDP growth in 2025

2.0–2.5% 79%

>2.5% 20.0%

1.5–2.0% <1%

1.0–1.5% <1%

$882,397 Vol.

<0.5%

$150,120 Vol.

<1%

0.5–1.0%

$390,744 Vol.

<1%

1.0–1.5%

$129,122 Vol.

<1%

1.5–2.0%

$53,861 Vol.

1%

2.0–2.5%

$55,623 Vol.

79%

>2.5%

$102,927 Vol.

20%

About

Volume
$882,397
End Date
Jan 29, 2026
Created At
Aug 15, 2025, 3:31 PM ET

Beware of external links.