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FL-6 special election: Randy Fine margin of victory

Market icon

FL-6 special election: Randy Fine margin of victory

10-15% 100.0%

<10% <1%

15-20% <1%

20-25% <1%

Polymarket

$1,133,784 Vol.

10-15% 100.0%

<10% <1%

15-20% <1%

20-25% <1%

Polymarket

$1,133,784 Vol.

<10%

$516,638 Vol.

No

10-15%

$279,564 Vol.

Yes

15-20%

$170,276 Vol.

No

20-25%

$104,508 Vol.

No

25%+

$62,798 Vol.

No

A special election for Florida's 6th Congressional District is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Republican Randy Fine.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Randy Fine and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If Randy Fine does not win the most votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Florida has certified the vote for this race.

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Volume
$1,133,784
End Date
Apr 1, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
A special election for Florida's 6th Congressional District is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Republican Randy Fine. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Randy Fine and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Randy Fine does not win the most votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Florida has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-6 special election: Randy Fine margin of victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10-15%" at 100%, followed by "<10%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-6 special election: Randy Fine margin of victory" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-6 special election: Randy Fine margin of victory," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-6 special election: Randy Fine margin of victory" is "10-15%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<10%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-6 special election: Randy Fine margin of victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.