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FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

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FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

59% chance
Polymarket
NEW
59% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Republican leaders, backed by President Trump, are advancing an 18-month clean reauthorization of FISA Section 702, with a planned floor vote in mid-April ahead of its April 20 expiration. Recent momentum stems from Rep. Jim Jordan's reversal to support the extension, classified briefings for lawmakers, and a productive White House meeting on March 26 where skeptics discussed compromise language addressing Fourth Amendment concerns without warrant requirements. While reform bills from Reps. Davidson and Sen. Lee demand privacy safeguards like closing data-broker loopholes, some Democrats signal willingness to provide procedural support, reflecting trader consensus at 58.5% for timely passage amid national security pressures despite holdouts.

House Republican leaders, backed by President Trump, are advancing an 18-month clean reauthorization of FISA Section 702, with a planned floor vote in mid-April ahead of its April 20 expiration. Recent momentum stems from Rep. Jim Jordan's reversal to support the extension, classified briefings for lawmakers, and a productive White House meeting on March 26 where skeptics discussed compromise language addressing Fourth Amendment concerns without warrant requirements. While reform bills from Reps. Davidson and Sen. Lee demand privacy safeguards like closing data-broker loopholes, some Democrats signal willingness to provide procedural support, reflecting trader consensus at 58.5% for timely passage amid national security pressures despite holdouts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Republican leaders, backed by President Trump, are advancing an 18-month clean reauthorization of FISA Section 702, with a planned floor vote in mid-April ahead of its April 20 expiration. Recent momentum stems from Rep. Jim Jordan's reversal to support the extension, classified briefings for lawmakers, and a productive White House meeting on March 26 where skeptics discussed compromise language addressing Fourth Amendment concerns without warrant requirements. While reform bills from Reps. Davidson and Sen. Lee demand privacy safeguards like closing data-broker loopholes, some Democrats signal willingness to provide procedural support, reflecting trader consensus at 58.5% for timely passage amid national security pressures despite holdouts.

House Republican leaders, backed by President Trump, are advancing an 18-month clean reauthorization of FISA Section 702, with a planned floor vote in mid-April ahead of its April 20 expiration. Recent momentum stems from Rep. Jim Jordan's reversal to support the extension, classified briefings for lawmakers, and a productive White House meeting on March 26 where skeptics discussed compromise language addressing Fourth Amendment concerns without warrant requirements. While reform bills from Reps. Davidson and Sen. Lee demand privacy safeguards like closing data-broker loopholes, some Democrats signal willingness to provide procedural support, reflecting trader consensus at 58.5% for timely passage amid national security pressures despite holdouts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 59% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 59¢, the market collectively assigns a 59% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" is 59% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 59% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.