Daniel Penny prison time?
No Prison Time 100.0%
<5 years <1%
5-10 Years <1%
>10 Years <1%
$155,103 Vol.
$155,103 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
No Prison Time
$43,009 Vol.
Yes
<5 years
$20,204 Vol.
No
5-10 Years
$61,110 Vol.
No
>10 Years
$30,779 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny is not sentenced to spend time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of his ongoing New York Court trial by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If Penny is found not guilty, these is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentencing takes place by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny is not sentenced to spend time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of his ongoing New York Court trial by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If Penny is found not guilty, these is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentencing takes place by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If Penny is found not guilty, these is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentencing takes place by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Dec 3, 2024, 3:43 PM ET
Volume
$155,103End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Dec 3, 2024, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Daniel Penny prison time?
No Prison Time 100.0%
<5 years <1%
5-10 Years <1%
>10 Years <1%
$155,103 Vol.
$155,103 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
No Prison Time
$43,009 Vol.
Yes
<5 years
$20,204 Vol.
No
5-10 Years
$61,110 Vol.
No
>10 Years
$30,779 Vol.
No
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Daniel Penny prison time?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Prison Time" at 100%, followed by "<5 years" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Daniel Penny prison time?" has generated $155.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Daniel Penny prison time?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Daniel Penny prison time?" is "No Prison Time" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<5 years" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Daniel Penny prison time?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions